Is there a secret to making money betting on horses? Can it all be reduced down to a single simple number? There is a number, often referred to as, “The Golden Mean,” that is found throughout nature and geometry. It has been studied for thousands of years and is thought by some to be the key to all things in the universe, if used properly, that is.
The number has also been referred to as the Fibonacci Ratio or Golden Ratio. The number is 1.61803398874989. As a ratio it is used as a key to find the natural amount of increase or proportion between two numbers and that is why horse racing handicappers who use numbers and statistics to evaluate the runners in a race often look for that ratio between numbers.
Since the golden ratio is an approximate number, people who seek it often shorten it to 1.618 or even just 1.6. It has been found in nature in the ratio of branches and stems on plants and in the human body in the circulatory system, in fact, it pops up everywhere.
The reasoning behind its attractiveness is that if nature and the universe use it so frequently as a model for systems that work very well, it must be a powerful number with special properties. Since horses are animals and part of the natural world, it is assumed by some that they improve according to the golden ratio and often lose their form accordingly.
The equation for the golden mean is A+B is to A as A is to B.
While you may find that relationship in many places, finding it in the ratio of improvement in workouts or races may indicate a horse that is a perfect fit to run the race of its life, or it may simply mean that you may expect it to improve by that much again. Assuming it doesn’t bounce of course, but then again, would a horse that is improving according to the perfect proportion bounce?
When using the number, don’t use the total speed figure or time for the race, but rather, use the difference in actual time to the par (which will function as a constant in this case) and compare the improvement or decline between races after subtracting the par time.
When you find that horse that is improving according to the golden proportion it may be reasonable to assume that it will continue to do so until it reaches its limit.